Friday, May 18, 2007

Week in review: Endemol and Telefonica's fear factor

(Originally published in Total Content + Media earlier today.)

Among the noteworthy M&A deals this week in the media industry—they included online advertising companies snapped up by Microsoft, WPP and AOL and Thomson finalising its deal to buy Reuters—Telefonica finally offloaded its 75% stake in Endemol to the tune of €2.6 billion.

It sounds like a nice sum, except for the fact that the Spanish telco had actually bought the stake in the TV production company in 2000 for €5.5 billion.

The consortium of successful buyers was led by Endemol’s founder, John de Mol and his investment vehicle Cyrte Fund, and included the Italian media giant Mediaset as well as Goldman Sachs.

"John de Mol did a great deal," one executive from a major broadcaster, told me this week. "He’s basically bought back his company for almost half of what he sold it for a few years ago! We should all try to do that.”

Putting aside the obvious waste of money in buying Endemol at a high and selling it for a low, one has to ask whether Telefonica would have ever been able to capitalise on its asset.

Endemol has been hugely successful in its traditional market of TV, producing franchises in largely in non-scripted formats: shows like Big Brother, Deal or No Deal and Fear Factor now grace millions of TV sets in dozens of countries.

But it’s also been setting the pace in new markets, too, developing mobile-only programming, games and products for other new formats like IPTV. Endemol has made some interesting progress here, signing distribution deals not just with Telefonica properties like mobile operator O2 but with a number of other distributors (mobile and otherwise). And it partners with a number of content companies to develop the products themselves.

Now it may not be your particular cup of tea, but a recent product, a mobile-only TV programme called Get Close To…Sugababes, was done in partnership with Universal Music, appeared exclusively on the O2 network, and really works to push the idea of how to use a small, short mobile format in a compelling way not just for the viewer, but also as part of the programme itself.

In the mobile space alone, Endemol claims that mobile users have downloaded 10 million minutes of Endemol-produced content, and that one million people have streamed endemol shows on their phones.

But all this still didn’t seem to be enough to make Endemol a compelling asset for Telefonica to keep, or to raise its price above what the telco had paid in 2000.

To be fair, Telefonica did try to work some convergence magic on Endemol over the last seven years. This apparently was why the telco didn’t sell it sooner. According to a source, Telefonica had actually wanted to sell off Endemol as far back as 2005 but held off after it bought mobile phone operator O2.

“They didn’t want to upset the relationship between the two,” he said, referring to the deal Endemol had struck with the mobile operator to run text voting for programmes like Big Brother, a lucrative mobile data deal for O2.

“Telefonica seemed to do the right thing buying Endemol,” said the executive. “They just did it at the wrong time.”

Looking to the future, early days under its new owners might be rocky for Endemol. From the moment the deal was announced, there were reports that the company would lose some key executives. Stephane Courbit, the chairman and founder of Endemol France, who was one of the unsuccessful bidders, said he would leave if John de Mol returned to the helm. And the chief creative officer and chairman of Endemol UK, Peter Bazalgette is also rumoured to be eyeing up the exit.

Mediaset, the Berlusconi-owned Italian media conglomerate, may have less time for new projects like mobile TV and IPTV as previous owner Telefonica did. Mediaset has been quick to release a statement saying that Endemol will retain its editorial independence, but this wouldn’t rule out trying to shape the production company’s product line up to better fit with its own media assets.

And Goldman Sachs could stay on the sidelines as a pure financial punter, but it too wouldn’t be in this deal if it didn’t think it could make some money out of it at some point. Perhaps those bankers know something that Telefonica did not.

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Monday, March 12, 2007

The week in review: new ideas for avatars

This was published last Friday on the Total Content + Media web site. For past weeks in review not posted here, go to http://www.totalcontentandmedia.com.

Today, Spanish telco Telefonica finally announced that it would start the process to sell off the remainder of its 75% stake in TV production company Endemol. The company is being valued at a whopping €3 billion. Since Telefonica floated 25% of its Endemol stock in November 2005, the share price of the company has gradually worked its way up from €9 per share to current prices of around €22 as speculation about interested buyers has ratcheted up over the last 15 months. According to this article, private equity firms including Apax, KKR, Providence and CVD are all circling around the company. Mediaset and Telecinco, bidding jointly, are among the media companies that have also expressed interest in the producer of formats like Big Brother and Deal or No Deal.

On Wednesday I shared a cowhide-upholstered sofa in Soho with Silvio Scaglia, founder of IPTV pioneer Fastweb in Italy, to talk about his newest venture, an online P2P video company called Babelgum. The company is coming in on a wave of online video aggregators, some of which are also based on peer-to-peer networking technology—BitTorrent (which relaunched the other week as a legit, commercial enterprise) and Joost among them. (Joost, incidentally, has signed a deal with Endemol.)

This is what Scaglia told me would be Babelgum's unique selling points: it will have a transparent pricing structure for content providers ($5 for every 1,000 CPMs when providers upload the content themselves); a strong mix of "professional" rather than user-generated content; and an intuitive "smart channel" service that morphs to your tastes based on what you choose to watch, and what you choose to skip. The channel will be advertising-supported and free to watch, as Scaglia says he doesn't believe people will ever pay much for these services.

Folks will be able to see for themselves when the site launches its beta later this spring, but I think Babelgum will have a challenge ahead of it amidst this glut of other online video contenders.

A case in point: online video market got another player this week in the form of Amazon linking up with TiVo for its Unbox service. Users of the service can now use their TiVo boxes to transfer their films directly to their televisions for viewing—something that seems simple and obvious but actually is not that common in the majority of video downloading services, which still largely expect people to watch programmes on their computer screens. I expect that with deals like the one signed between Yahoo and Akimbo at the beginning of this year, the area of transferring Internet content to televisions will be a focus for other companies too in the months ahead.

In another piece of news that underscores the bridge between the television set and the Internet, Sony this week announced a new dimension to its PlayStation 3 that will offer users the chance to play games with other users in "3D." The service, to be called Home, will use interactive elements, virtual worlds and avatars, a la Second Life, but all be accessible via your television rather than your computer monitor. Analysts have greeted the news positively—Sony's been lagging behind Microsoft's Xbox and Nintendo's Wii in the games console stakes and needs a boost of something fresh to drive sales.

I've thought of a good application for business people in this emerging 3D world: This week has been a big one for media conferences: the IPTV World Forum and the FT Media Conference and the Digital TV Group's Annual Summit in London; and the Bear Stearns annual media confab in Florida were among them. As we were finishing with the second issue of Total Content + Media magazine, I didn't manage to attend any of them. But it strikes me as a very good idea for these conferences to eventually move into the 3D world so that at least my avatar could have come in my place.

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